A Winning Formula is Not Persistent

Excerpt from “What March Madness Brackets Teach Us About Investing Mistakes”

Just like no stock (or fund) continues to top the charts year after year, there have been only six repeat winners in the 80 year history of the NCAA tournament and only two in the past 30-plus years (Florida 2006-07 and Duke 1991-92). In investing, the fund manager, sector or asset class topping the charts one year is often a laggard the next year (see Callan chart below).